中国央行料最早于5月上调1年期存*利率(附机构预测)

据国外知名财经媒体调查显示，中国央行最早将在5月上调一年期存贷款利率27个基点。 
 
中国目前一年期存贷款利率分别为2.25%和5.31%。 
 
以下为接受调查的机构预测结果(%)： 
 
存款利率贷款利率4月底6月底9月底明年3月底4月底6月底9月底明年3月底中值2.252.522.522.795.315.585.585.85平均值2.312.472.652.825.365.535.725.89最低2.252.252.252.255.315.315.315.31最高2.543.063.333.355.586.126.396.39预测数3535353436373736 
 
机构名称4月底6月底9月底明年3月底4月底6月底9月底明年3月底Action Economics2.252.522.792.795.315.585.856.12中国银行2.252.252.252.525.315.315.315.49交通银行2.252.522.522.795.315.585.585.85巴黎百富勤2.252.522.792.795.315.585.855.85美银美林2.252.252.252.525.315.315.315.49中银国际2.252.522.522.795.315.585.585.85Capital Economics2.252.522.793.065.315.585.856.12莫尼塔2.252.522.792.795.315.585.855.85中国建设银行2.252.252.522.795.315.315.585.85招商证券2.252.252.522.795.315.315.585.85花旗2.252.252.523.065.315.315.586.12中信证券2.522.522.792.795.585.585.855.85大和资本市场2.523.063.333.335.586.126.396.39丹麦丹斯克银行2.522.522.793.335.315.585.856.39德意志银行2.252.793.063.065.315.856.126.12华宝信托2.252.522.522.525.315.585.585.58银河证券2.252.252.252.255.315.315.315.31国都证券2.252.252.522.525.315.315.585.85国泰君安证券2.272.522.522.795.315.585.585.87恒生银行2.252.252.252.525.315.315.315.58兴业银行2.252.252.522.795.315.315.585.85兴业证券2.252.522.793.335.315.585.856.39民生证券2.252.422.692.965.315.315.585.85野村2.522.793.063.335.585.856.126.39平安证券2.252.252.392.665.315.315.455.72加拿大皇家银行2.542.813.083.355.585.856.126.39苏格兰皇家银行~~~~~5.585.856.12国海证券2.252.522.522.525.315.585.585.58申银万国证券2.252.252.522.525.315.315.585.58国金证券2.252.522.793.065.315.585.855.85SJS Markets2.252.793.062.795.315.856.125.85法国兴业银行~~~~5.315.315.586.12南华证券2.252.252.522.795.315.315.585.85渣打2.522.792.792.795.585.855.855.85德邦证券2.252.252.252.255.315.315.315.31天相投资顾问2.252.522.793.065.315.585.856.12瑞银2.522.522.79~5.585.856.12~ 
 
注：~ 表示数据不可得。